Amazon Strategy #1: Guys, Don't Even Bother
Coming Home
Written by Mario Lanza
on 02.17.03
"I think you had eight guys believing in themselves a little too much."
-Butch Lockley
Oh my goodness.
That's the best way to start off my first column of the new season. Oh
my goodness. Seventy minutes of trash talking, followed by the guys
getting trounced by the girls in a relay race. In the world of Greek
tragedy, this is known as "hubris," the fatal pride that leads to ones
downfall. But it was a great episode overall. It was very
thrilling, if a bit... well... humbling. Put it this way, as a guy it
was tough to watch. But it was great TV and that's all that counts. I
predict we will never have a first episode as good as this again, and I
hope the rest of the season can keep up this level of drama and
excitement.
Normally I use my first column to make my initial thoughts on the
players, and how well I think they are going to do in the game. I will
do that again here, but first I have to make a couple of comments.
There are a few things that I want to bring up.
First off, I've heard from a few female fans about this episode, all of
them expressing shock that guys behave that way when they are hanging
out with other guys. Do guys really act that way when girls aren't
around?? Well, the only similar situation I can compare it to are the
many baseball teams I played on when I was a kid.
You see, I played baseball for years, all the way up to the college
level. I have been on many road trips, I played on many
teams, I stayed in team hotel rooms, I hung out with jocks, athletes,
meatheads, etc. And I can say, without a doubt, that yes, this is absolutely the
way that guys talk when girls aren't around. In fact, I
bet they severely toned down the Tambaqui members' comments for TV.
I bet 75% of the stuff that was said, they couldn't show on
the air. I bet that probably a good half of each day at Camp Tambaqui
was spent with the guys discussing Heidi or Jenna's anatomy, in great
detail. And as for the outrage over all the sexist comments, puhlease.
Of COURSE a team of guys is going to talk like that. Of
course they are going to belittle the girls, and make fun of them. When
we wrote "All-Star Survivor: Alaska," we had our all-male team do the
exact same thing. And, much to my surprise, we got flak for
it.
"They're too misogynistic! They wouldn't talk like that! Why did you
have to make them so unlikable!"
Well, sorry, but that's just kind of what athletic, young, type-A males
do when they get together. Guys can be nice and civilized when it
counts, but it is generally for one reason: To impress girls. If the
girls aren't around, then it's right back to normal. So yeah, it was
kind of over the top how it came off on TV, but keep in mind that the
guys here weren't really doing anything that was all that out of
character. The only one who seemed to be playing it up to the cameras
was Rob, everyone else seemed pretty sincere and their comments seemed
pretty heartfelt. Roger, for one, seemed to absolutely believe
everything he was saying. And so did Daniel. And if
you watch closely, it was actually Dave who made one of the
first comments about the male team superiority. Dave, the same guy who
later scorned all the "macho overconfidence" and told them all to shut
up. But even he was taking part in it at first, calling the men "the
favorites." It just goes to show you that even the more intelligent and
educated and mature guys can get caught up in the whole male vs. female
thing when they are in this type of situation.
Can the guys possibly recover from such a huge blow to their egos? Will
they have learned anything from the experience? Well for
starters, if there is ANYTHING that can teach guys like this a
lesson, it is a loss in a physical challenge. Guys simply don't lose a
sporting event to a team of girls and forget it. For all the strides in
gender equality in athletics and amateur sports that have been made
throughout the years, most male athletes still pretty much operate
under the credo that you are never supposed to lose to a girl, ever. As
a basketball coach once said to me when I was a kid: "You shouldn't
even play against girls, because it is a no-win situation. If you win,
great, you beat a bunch of girls, and you better have won by a lot. But
if you lose... man, you better not even show your face on the court the
next day."
I think that sums up the mood of Tambaqui pretty nicely right now.
So, what will happen now? In a perfect world, you would think
that the guys would learn to respect their opponents, and to take them
seriously. You would hope that they will talk with glowing respect
about the Jaburus now, and the guys will begrudgingly admit that, yes,
the girls were a strong team too. And that the girls are fierce
competitors. But I'm guessing it won't happen. I'm guessing
the comments will get even worse now. Heidi's breasts will
still be a major important focal point around Camp Tambaqui. Nothing
will really change. Guys never change. Better get used to it.
A second point to make is on the survival skills of the respective
teams. The guys seem to know what they are doing for the most part.
Roger and Butch seem to have created a pretty decent shelter, and
everyone on the guys' tribe seems to have worked fairly well together.
Other than the loss in the immunity challenge, Tambaqui actually did
have a pretty good episode. As for the Jaburus, on the other hand, they
are hurting. Their big immunity win over the guys helped mask the fact
that they have no shelter whatsoever, and there is no apparent prospect
that one is actually going to get built. This is going to be a major,
major problem for them in upcoming weeks, when the storms and nature
and the bugs hit. So I'm not really sure what is going to happen here.
It is entirely possible the Jaburus WILL get something built, but it is
also entirely possible that the producers may have to step in and help
out somehow. I will give them the benefit of the doubt for now, since
Deena and team DO have some hard workers on the tribe, but it is
looking bad for them. Team skills are very important, and morale is
very important, true. But eventually you will need some sort
of a home to live in.
Or, as I said to my wife, the girls won the challenge but they aren't
going to live very long to enjoy it.
A third thing to bring up is something that was omitted from the
episode. There were no short bio/intro clips of the players! You know
the ones I am talking about, the little intros that each player gets
when we first see them. "The Ogakor tribe consist of... Tina Wesson, a
39 year old nurse and mother from Knoxville, Tennessee." They didn't
have anything like that in the first episode! Now, to the hardcore
online Survivor junkies and fans, such as people who read this column,
I'm sure this isn't that big of a deal. But (as much as many online
fans will hate to hear this), we online junkies are a rather
insignificant piece of the Survivor fan base. There are millions and
millions of Survivor fans out there who don't read the websites, who
didn't watch the Amazon promo CD from Saturn, and who have never seen
all the audition tapes. They just tuned in for the first time on
Thursday and they had no idea who any of these people were. So
yes, personally I think it was a terrible move to omit the short bio
clips. How do most viewers know who Rob is, or Christy? How does anyone
know where Jenna is from? Or what Jeanne does for a living?
CBS gave no hints or clues about any of them. I think they should seriously
consider bringing those intro clips back next season. I think they are
an absolutely necessary part of the premiere episode, to allow the
viewers to know the new players right away. Otherwise, the players are
nothing more than strangers. They are just names on a screen.
And you can't root for people you don't know.
And okay, my fourth little note is bound to be controversial, because
it is the exact opposite of what most people are saying about Christy.
But okay, here goes. Let me take a deep breath.
Christy is definitely one of my favorite Survivors in a long time. You
see her and you listen to her confessionals and you IMMEDIATELY root
for her. I have never seen a player come out of the gate with
as much likability as she has. You WANT her to win. Even me, one of the
bigger cynics in the world, I WANT her to do well and to win this game.
She's great. But that being said, Jaburu really has no obligation to go
out of their way and make her feel at home. People are making a big
deal that Jaburu isn't helping her to fit in, but I think they would be
fools to actually do that. And it must be incredibly frustrating for
Christy, because she is being pushed away right off the bat, and it
isn't her fault. She is already being marked for extinction,
and she really can't do anything to stop it. Her tears are genuine, her
isolation is real, and her complaints are very valid. And she isn't
being a whiner about it, either, she is simply stating the truth. They
aren't letting me fit in, and it sucks. But it all comes back to one
simple truth about this game, which is a lesson we have learned over
and over and over throughout the years:
Survivor is not a nice
game.
Christy is clearly being pushed to the side, and it is because they
want her to be first one off. If you go back to John Raymond
from last season, he gave a very poignant quote as to why he was kicked
off at the end of the first episode: "If people start talking about
kicking off John, and your name isn't John, it starts to sound like a
great idea." People vote out of fear at the start. That's just what
they do. No one wants to be first one to go, so if there is
an easy target, it is MORE than easy enough to just go along with the
mob. I think Christy is clearly marked for execution already (although
I think Janet will beat her to it, because of her illness.) And what is
happening is that people KNOW Christy is marked for execution, so no
one wants to be near her. It is almost like a plague. You get too close
to the deceased, and suddenly you show up next on the hit list. So I
don't blame people at all for not going out of their way to make
friends with her or help her fit in. It is a cruel game.
Remember that Survivor is, at heart, a sociological experiment. It is a
study of how societies form. And one of the tenets of sociology is the
one of natural selection. Those with weaknesses will be pushed to the
side. So what Christy is experiencing (and has experienced in life) was
bound to happen in a game like this. From the point of view of the rest
of the team, she has a very serious weakness, in that she can't
communicate at night. If you are trying to win this game down the road,
it will be that much harder if you were aligned with her over someone
else. As a strategic player, you are basically giving yourself a
handicap if you pick her over someone with whom you can easily
communicate. It sucks to see that in print, but it is the truth.
Survivor is not a nice game. And few people are out there for
humanitarian reasons. I hate to go into Richard Hatch mode here, but if
you are playing this game, you have to remember that the other fifteen
people are your opponents, not your friends. If they have weaknesses,
it is your job to exploit those weaknesses the best that you can, to
ensure YOUR success. If there is an easy first bootee, damn right you
are going to do your best to help get rid of her. Just as long as that
next boot isn't you, that should be all that counts.
I truly thought that being on an all-female team might help save
Christy, because I figured that women would be more likely to
men to try and help her out. But that doesn't appear to be the case at
all. This game is about self-interests, and it always has been. Male or
female, the teammates don't make a difference, people all think the
exact same way after six seasons. They are all looking out
for themselves. So don't blame the Jaburus for what they are
doing, because any other tribe (male or female) would probably treat
Christy the exact same way. She is a "Get out of jail free" card. She
is a freebie vote. They all know this, and because they all know this
it makes the game less stressful for everyone involved. You can even
see it in Heidi's speech: You mean the first vote won't be a mystery?
Sweet, sign me up!
So Christy, I am rooting for you. You have a heck of an uphill battle
though. The entire nature of the game is working against you, as well
as the nature of societies in general. And that is a huge
battle I wouldn't want to see anyone have to face. You will need some
luck on your side. A lot of luck. And hanging out with Deena is a good
start. You two could both use some allies, and soon.
Okay, on to my initial player notes. I write these every season, and
then I come back to look at them after the season ends, to see how
close I was. Here are my predictions as to how well these players are
going to do this season. Oh, and don't expect it to be male vs. female
for very long. It's a fun gimmick, but I have no doubt we will see
mixed gender tribes soon.
Shawna Mitchell
In my pre game notes, I wrote that she seemed insignificant. Oops! I
was wrong on that one, she is clearly one of the major female players.
She is strong, she's a good interview, she is funny, and up to this
point she seems well-liked. The males seem to like her too (but over
Heidi? Over Heidi?? Are you insane??) Shawna is gonna go far, she has
far more charisma and personality than I anticipated from her bio. The
only drawback I see, from my end, is that she is a bit Seinfeldian: She
is a side-talker (she talks out of the side her mouth). That gets
annoying kind of quick.
Prediction:
Major player, but not the winner.
JoAnna Ward
I think JoAnna is going to be the heart of this game. I
predict she and Jeanne will be the center of the Jaburu tribe.
Watch the scene again where the two of them go fishing. It's kind of
boring scene, but it is there for a reason. JoAnna is tall, she is
strong, she is likeable, she is respected, and best of all she
is a good source of strength for the tribe with her faith. Plus watch
the immunity challenge again where Jeff talks about how they are going
to go from EIGHT, to FOUR, to TWO, and down to ONE. When he says "one,"
they show a picture of JoAnna's face. Is this a clue? Could be! We
don't know JoAnna all that well yet as a player, but as one of the
stronger (physically) members of Jaburu, she can pretty much write her
own ticket to the merge. They are going to need her.
Prediction:
Possible winner.
Christy Smith
I wrote about Christy earlier, and how she already seems to have been
marked for early dismissal. Basically she is getting the John Raymond
treatment. Or the Debb Eaton treatment, if you prefer that analogy.
Christy is my favorite member of the female trtibe and I really, really
want her to do well. But she probably won't. If she were smaller or a
better athlete, she would have more of a chance, but I think she has
obstacles far too great to overcome right now. I think she is
doomed.
Prediction:
Voted out early
Deena Bennett
Deena is the tough, strong leader of the Jaburus, although it is yet to
be seen whether that role is going to work against her or not.
Personally I think a female tribe will be more forgiving of a bossy
personality than a men's tribe would, so she will probably be okay for
a while. I like Deena, she seems to be one of the few Jaburus with an
idea of how to build a shelter and what they need to do out there. If
they are going to succeed at the survival part of the game, Deena is
going to have a lot to do with it. But all that being said, I
don't see her as much of a long term player. I think she will do as
much as she can to help them out at the start, and then she will either
be picked off around the merge, or around the time of a twist. Because
the guys won't necessarily have any use for her if she winds up over on
a mixed tribe. One saving grace I possibly see for Deena is if she can
make a religious bond with the older players on the team (particularly
JoAnna.)
Prediction:
Early strong player, midgame bootee
Jenna Morasca
I said it in pre game, I will say it again. The females won't want to
keep Jenna around. Her best chance at survival is a twist, or being
pulled over to the other tribe. She seems to have no survival skills
whatsoever, although to be fair she was right in there when the Jaburus
were building a fire. She isn't lazy, it appears she at least tries,
but washing their buffs and their underwear in the drinking water was
just ridiculous. Hopefully Jenna will be around later so we can ask
her how important clean underwear is after 30 days. Another
negative about Jenna is that her arms can't possibly be any
skinnier, she really can't handle to lose any weight. Jenna is
weak but she is also a wild card. If she stays on the female
team, she is toast. But if she goes to the male team, they might just
all flock around her because she is beautiful. For now I am
basing my prediction on her current situation, but she definitely has a
more open-ended future than some of the rest of them.
Prediction:
Early bootee, unless she switches teams. But in any case, not the
winner.
Jeanne Hebert
Jeanne was one of my pre season picks to win the game, and I see no
reason to change that now. We don't know a whole lot about her yet, but
she seems well-liked, she seems like a hard worker, and she definitely
came off as a "mom" to the rest of the team. Like JoAnna, they are
going to need her. Jeanne doesn't appear to be in the best shape out of
anyone, but she certainly didn't hurt them in the challenge either. She
even wound up being one of the two puzzle solvers, so it is clear that
the Jaburus respect her intelligence. Add to that her job as a company
director (good organization and people skills) and Jeanne is going to
be a strong player no matter what team she ends up on. She won't be
threatening to the guys, and the girls will need her. Can't find a
better combo than that.
Prediction:
Possible winner.
Janet Koth
Old and sick is a terrible place to be. Whereas Christy was originally
marked for the first Jaburu vote, I think Janet will soon take her
place. The sick one ALWAYS goes in the second episode, you watch
Survivor, you know that! I think Janet has the potential to
be a very valuable member of the tribe, what with her nursing skills
and her overall good cheer. But illness is always a major,
major factor in the choice for an early bootee. People like to think of
it as a "mercy boot." I predict that next week the girls are
going to do her a favor. Let's vote Janet out and
get her some food and some rest.
Prediction:
Bye bye Janet. Second bootee.
Heidi Strobel
Say hello to the star of the season. I predicted from her bio
that Heidi was going to be the sweet, innocent, girl-next-door type,
but I think I was a bit off on her. I think she could be as cutthroat
as anyone here. She just has that look in her eyes. Add to it
her good looks, her intelligence, and her athleticism, and she will be
a major, major player in this game. I have never been sure
that a female under 30 could actually win Survivor, but Heidi very well
might be the first. She has a lot going for her, not the least being
that the Tambaquis already all worship her.
Prediction:
Possible winner, definite long-term player.
Roger Sexton
Roger avoided an obvious danger zone in the first episode, simply by
being the oldest and bossiest guy on his tribe. But he is still here,
and that's all that counts. Now that he is past that first vote he
should be fairly safe for a while. Roger has been invaluable to the
Tambaqui camp thus far. As a bonus, they also speak of him as
an expert fisherman, so that helps. I think Roger is going to
stick around for a while, although I can't see him bonding particularly
well with the females in the event of a merge of twist. He seems like a
good guy though, and I think the worst is probably past for him for a
while.
Prediction:
One of the first ones out after a merge or a twist.
Rob Cesternino
Ahh, here he is. My preseason #1 pick. And you know what, he will still
be #1 in my power rankings this week. I'm particularly proud that I
nailed his scheming ways before I even saw him. Yay me! But that being
said, alas, I don't see Rob as the winner. He is bright, clever, and
funny, and he knows this game inside and out. And if you read my column
from last year called the Andy Kaufman Strategy, I would say that Rob
has it down pat. In fact I wouldn't be surprised if he had
actually read my column at some point, what with him being a computer
guy and all. In particular, look at the way Rob "acted"
surprised when Ryan was voted out, that is almost word for
word what I wrote about in my article. Act stunned!
Rob has definitely planned out his strategy ("Look at me, I'm
a big goofball who brought along a Magic-8 Ball, don't worry about me!
I'm a dork!"). But his downfall, if it comes, is
going to be his eagerness. Rob is so eager to stir up crap, and so
eager to scheme, and so eager to be the uber villain, that he is coming
off almost a bit desperate to me. It seems like he is scheming and
plotting way too early, almost just for the sake of having fun with it.
I am afraid it is going to get him in trouble eventually,
because you can't do too much like that, too soon. Eventually the
others are going to catch on to you. Not to mention that Rob
isn't really the most physically fit of the bunch, which might lead to
problems when you are on an all-male tribe. Rob could -really- use a
twist at some point, pairing up with and charming the girls would be
perfect for him.
Rob is clearly going to be the most entertaining player in the cast,
and I wish him well. We seem to think alike and, hey, he even sort of
looks like me, we could probably be brothers. So I already
feel a strange kinship with the guy. Hopefully he uses his strategy
wisely, but also remembers that he has to lay low at times when the
situation calls for it. As always on Survivor, laying low when you need
to is the key.
Prediction:
Rob is the hardest one for me to call. My mind says that he
knows the game well enough to be the possible winner, but my gut says
he is probably no better than a jury member. I guess we will see.
Matthew von Ertfelda
Matthew, or MVE as I like to call him, didn't get a whole lot of
airtime this week. And you know what, I think that was his plan. If you
were lucky enough to see the Saturn promo CD, you would see that
Matthew likes to fancy himself as the second coming of Richard Hatch.
He is a very devious, very cunning, very cutthroat individual. The fact
that he didn't say a darn word in the first episode, that he was
involved in all of the building, yet none of the scheming, to me I am
guessing that was all intentional. I think THIS guy might turn out to
be the big genius villain of the bunch. Right now he is laying low.
Very low. The only thing that troubles me about Matthew is
the fact that he voted with Ryan. It bothers me that
he chose his alliance sides incorrectly. That is a bad move
this early in the game, although it is certainly not fatal. If Matthew
is as clever as I think he is, he will quickly recover and make nice
with Roger and the others. And then, if all goes well, it will be game
time.
I may be going out on a limb here with this guy, but I think he's got
more cards than he is showing us. Put it this way, Rob thinks that he
will be the great mastermind villain. But Matthew KNOWS that he will be
the great mastermind villain. The two of them can't possibly co exist
once they are on to each other. We'll see if I am right...
Prediction:
Possible winner.
Alex Bell
Alex didn't say much this week, but he is clearly, clearly going to be
around for a while. He has no enemies, no weaknesses, he is likeable,
he is good-looking, he is athletic, he seems to be smart, I mean really
what more do you want?. Every cast has the one "golden boy," who seems
to be good at everything, and Alex is going to be the one in the
Amazon. Although I should probably point out that like most of
the golden boys in Survivor history, he is probably a little too good
to be true. Because golden boys never win. Just ask Joel, Colby, Silas,
Gabe, Hunter or Ken. Well, okay, Brian Heidik won, but he was the
exception. So I guess the asterisk here is that you can win
if you are a golden boy, you just have to be a serial killer to do
it. Good luck Alex. I hope you are entertaining,
because you are going to be around for a while.
Prediction:
Major player, probably not the winner.
Butch Lockley
I like Butch, Butch is great. He fit in far better than I expected he
would, and his banner idea was genius. He is a great teammate, and the
rest of the tribe is already describing him as a "great fisherman" like
Roger, so he definitely brings some value to his tribe. In fact, I
predict Butch will have a good run in this game. He's likeable, he's
smart, he's not an athletic liability, and he definitely knows how to
efficiently organize people (because of his job.) I look forward to
seeing how Butch and Roger are going to organize the men's team next
week, to see how they are going to recover. Remember that Butch knows
Survivor. He is a big fan, he knows how the game
works. And most importantly, he knows which kind of people
get voted off first. He has definitely done his homework. As with Alex,
a merge or twist will probably not hurt Butch, he isn't going to be the
least bit threatening no matter which tribe he winds up on. So keep an
eye on this guy, he might not be the flashiest player out there, but he
has a lot going for him.
Prediction:
A major player.
Daniel Lue
Yuck. Few people have ever had a worse opening episode than Daniel. Not
only did he blow the challenge, he also managed to:
A) Piss off the females
B) Piss off his own team
C) Be labeled a slacker
D) Look directly at the camera at LEAST four times (this is a big TV no
no.)
It's bad enough that Daniel appears uncomfortable on TV, but he just
seems to be lost right now. He's got the Jed Hildebrand "stench of
death" all around him right now, where you know he is going early, it
is only a matter of time. Daniel is one of those players who looked
great on paper, but I think he has already lost the game for himself.
Even a twist won't save him, he certainly has no friends on the other
side to help him out either. The girls are already annoyed by
him. So I guess it is just pretty much a waiting game now.
Prediction: The
next male bootee.
Dave Johnson
It's Dave, and he's a rrrrrrocket scientist. If you have seen the
Saturn CD, you will get that joke, because that's exactly the way that
he talks on it. I like Dave. I think he is going to be a very strong
player, with very strong morals, and a uniquely strange sense of humor.
As I said in my pre season rankings, Dave loves the movie the Big
Lebowski, and anyone who likes that movie tends to look at life a
little differently than most people. I'm sure it must have
been humiliating for a rrrrrrrocket scientist to lose a puzzle
challenge, but hopefully Dave can bounce back next week. He is
a strong player, but voting for Daniel, and not going along with the
herd, is a risky move. I like Dave's ethics, and his morals, and his
sense of humor, but he is the type of person who could be
labeled a weird loner outcast very early. He has to watch himself, and
make sure that he plays nice with others. The "big speech" didn't seem
to hurt him though, in fact it may have even raised his standing among
the elders. But it was still a ballsy move. Dave
has to be careful not to stick his neck out like that any more than he
has to.
Prediction:
Midgame bootee, possibly later.
POWER
RANKINGS
AFTER WEEK ONE
One week down, and only a few people have pretty much guaranteed that
they won't
win the game. This is a very wide open field of players at the moment,
no one really
jumps out as being a favorite. And there are a lot of directions
the game could take along the way as well. This
looks like it is going to be a wonderful season, with a great cast, a
beautiful
location, and a fun new gimmick. The male vs. female dynamic adds a
whole new dimension to the
game (as short lived as I expect it to be), and I am already predicting
that this could turn out to be one of the best Survivor seasons of
all time. Make us
proud, Amazonians!
So here is the first of my weekly power rankings. Who is most likely to win the
game at this point? Let's see if I have another run of Heidikian luck
like last season!
1. Rob Cesternino
The closest I have seen to my Andy Kaufman strategy, plus he even looks like me.
When in doubt, I always root for my doppelganger.
2. Matthew von Ertfelda
Like I said, I -really- could be stretching here, but I think he will be the
big evil star of the cast. At the end of the game, MVE might be the
MVP.
3. JoAnna Ward
I don't know her that well yet, but it is clear that the females need
her. In any case, she will be a great source of strength to whatever
tribe she winds up on.
4. Heidi Strobel
Solid player, clearly will be around for a while. If she ends up on a
guy team via a twist, she has it made. John Carroll said it perfectly this week... he said that Heidi is "Neleh with a dagger."
5. Jeanne Hebert
I don't see a whole lot of 'winner' vibe around her yet, but she should
be around for some time. I need to see more of her. Never underestimate
the mom of the tribe.
6. Shawna Mitchell
Shawna is a lot of fun to watch. I'm not sure about her cutthroat
nature, but she is entertaining and she is definitely likeable. She will clearly be around
for a while.
7. Butch Lockley
I underestimated Butch, he is going to be a strong player. He knows the game, and
he knows how to get along with people. People will be rooting for him to
win.
8. Alex Bell
He is a strong player, but I think he has too much going for him and will be too much of a threat. He
should be around for some time, though.
9. Dave Johnson
Dave is the biggest wild card in the game right now. I'm not sure where
he fits in with anyone. He seems older than his age, he seems more like Butch and Roger than
like Daniel and Rob. It will be interesting to be how his game unfolds.
10. Roger Sexton
Nice job with the shelter and the manual labor, but I think he will really
only be needed until the tribes can live comfortably. The females would
kill for a guy like him right now, you put Roger over there and he could single handedly save the
game for them.
11. Deena Bennett
The female Roger. She is needed for now, but she really, really needs to get
some sort of shelter up or she will wear out her welcome very fast. I think
she is a short term player at best.
12. Jenna Morasca
She's pretty much eye candy, and will be irrelevant to the plot of the season. And
frankly, I don't think her body can even take being out there for very long.
She doesn't have any weight to lose.
13. Janet Koth
If she recovers from her illness, she has a fighting chance. But for now, I
have to drop her down here. Illness always hits the females the hardest,
people tend to write women off on Survivor the minute they get sick. I think she is toast.
14. Christy Smith
As I said, it's not fair, but she has already been marked for dismissal.
She needs some major breaks or some major luck to get back in this game. Although I know that I'm
pulling for her. As a side note, one of my favorite movies of all time
is the basketball film "Hoosiers," and Christy looks like she could be the
sister of Hickory star player Jimmy Chitwood. He was a good player,
so maybe that will be good for some luck for Christy at least.
15. Daniel Lue
The cloud of doom surrounds him. Stay away! Beware!
Mario Lanza
lives in Los Angeles with his wife and two small children. He was the
lead writer of the All-Star Hawaii and Alaska stories, and
he loves email feedback. He also hopes he isn't the only one
to think the immunity idol looks like the Anaheim Rally Monkey.